Research papers

Coefficient Alpha and the Internal Structure of Tests

Lee J. Cronbach

A general formula ( α ) of which a special case is the Kuder-Richardson coefficient of equivalence is shown to be the mean of all split-half coefficients resulting from different splittings of a test. α is therefore an estimate of the correlation between two random samples of items from a universe of items like those in the test. α is found to be an appropriate index of equivalence and, except for very short tests, of the first-factor concentration in the test. Tests divisible into distinct subtests should be so divided before using the formula. The index \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document} $$\bar r_{ij} $$ \end{document} , derived from α , is shown to be an index of inter-item homogeneity. Comparison is made to the Guttman and Loevinger approaches. Parallel split coefficients are shown to be unnecessary for tests of common types. In designing tests, maximum interpretability of scores is obtained by increasing the first-factor concentration in any separately-scored subtest and avoiding substantial group-factor clusters within a subtest. Scalability is not a requisite.

<i>The Mathematical Theory of Communication</i>

Claude E. Shannon, Warren Weaver, Norbert Wiener

A Mathematical Theory of Communication

Claude E. Shannon

In this final installment of the paper we consider the case where the signals or the messages or both are continuously variable, in contrast with the discrete nature assumed until now. To a considerable extent the continuous case can be obtained through a limiting process from the discrete case by dividing the continuum of messages and signals into a large but finite number of small regions and calculating the various parameters involved on a discrete basis. As the size of the regions is decreased these parameters in general approach as limits the proper values for the continuous case. There are, however, a few new effects that appear and also a general change of emphasis in the direction of specialization of the general results to particular cases.

A Mathematical Theory of Communication

Claude E. Shannon

The recent development of various methods of modulation such as PCM and PPM which exchange bandwidth for signal-to-noise ratio has intensified the interest in a general theory of communication. A basis for such a theory is contained in the important papers of Nyquist1and Hartley2on this subject. In the present paper we will extend the theory to include a number of new factors, in particular the effect of noise in the channel, and the savings possible due to the statistical structure of the original message and due to the nature of the final destination of the information.

Mathematical Methods of Statistics.

R. C. Geary, H. Leslie Cramer

Journal Article Mathematical Methods of Statistics Get access Mathematical Methods of Statistics. By HAROLD CRAMER. Princeton University Press (London : Geoffrey Cumberlege), 1946. Pp. xvi + 575. 33s. 6d.) R. C. Geary R. C. Geary Department of Applied Economics, Cambridge Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Economic Journal, Volume 57, Issue 226, 1 June 1947, Pages 200–202, https://doi.org/10.2307/2226151 Published: 01 June 1947

Stochastic Problems in Physics and Astronomy

S. Chandrasekhar

Experience and Education.

Arthur Katuna, John Dewey, Franz Schneider, Watson Dickerman, A. Stephen Stephan, Herbert Sorenson, Joseph K. Hart

Handbook of chemistry and physics

A contribution to the mathematical theory of epidemics

W. O. Kermack, A. G. McKendrick

Abstract (1) One of the most striking features in the study of epidemics is the difficulty of finding a causal factor which appears to be adequate to account for the magnitude of the frequent epidemics of disease which visit almost every population. It was with a view to obtaining more insight regarding the effects of the various factors which govern the spread of contagious epidemics that the present investigation was undertaken. Reference may here be made to the work of Ross and Hudson (1915-17) in which the same problem is attacked. The problem is here carried to a further stage, and it is considered from a point of view which is in one sense more general. The problem may be summarised as follows: One (or more) infected person is introduced into a community of individuals, more or less susceptible to the disease in question. The disease spreads from the affected to the unaffected by contact infection. Each infected person runs through the course of his sickness, and finally is removed from the number of those who are sick, by recovery or by death. The chances of recovery or death vary from day to day during the course of his illness. The chances that the affected may convey infection to the unaffected are likewise dependent upon the stage of the sickness. As the epidemic spreads, the number of unaffected members of the community becomes reduced. Since the course of an epidemic is short compared with the life of an individual, the population may be considered as remaining constant, except in as far as it is modified by deaths due to the epidemic disease itself. In the course of time the epidemic may come to an end. One of the most important probems in epidemiology is to ascertain whether this termination occurs only when no susceptible individuals are left, or whether the interplay of the various factors of infectivity, recovery and mortality, may result in termination, whilst many susceptible individuals are still present in the unaffected population. It is difficult to treat this problem in its most general aspect. In the present communication discussion will be limited to the case in which all members of the community are initially equally susceptible to the disease, and it will be further assumed that complete immunity is conferred by a single infection.

Democracy and Education.

Ernest Carroll Moore, John Dewey

THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE FLORA IN THE ALPINE ZONE. 1

Paul Jaccard

A model of investor sentiment /

Nicholas Barberis, Robert W. Vishny, Andrei Shleifer, National Bureau of Economic Research.

Abstract Recent empirical research in finance has uncovered two families of pervasive regularities: underreaction of stock prices to news such as earnings announcements, and overreaction of stock prices to a series of good or bad news. In this paper, we present a parsimonious model of investor sentiment, or of how investors form beliefs, which is consistent with the empirical findings. The model is based on psychological evidence and produces both underreaction and overreaction for a wide range of parameter values.